Wednesday, April 28, 2010

March Unemployment Figures Released

Several signals in recent months have indicated that we are well on our way to economic recovery. Unfortunately we can’t include March’s employment data in that group. The Kansas City metro’s unemployment rate increased in March to 9.3 percent. This is an increase from 9.1 percent last month and 8.4 percent one year ago. The labor force (the count of all people who are either employed, or unemployed and are actively looking for work) declined to 1,025,298, the lowest figure since June of 2006. Meanwhile employment (the number of people who are employed) dropped to 930,131 — its lowest point since September 1996!
We can’t say these figures are a complete surprise. Employment is a lagging indicator, so we will not likely see employment growth until the recovery is deemed to be strong and sustainable. However, the fact that we have to go back to 1996 to see local employment at the same level we have today is still startling. These numbers really speak to the magnitude of the 2008-09 recession. Yes, we believe we are on our way to economic recovery, but it is certainly going to take a while, especially on the employment front.

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

$136 Million Investment in Fairfax Plant Announced

General Motors CEO Edward Whitacre announced today that GM will be paying back the government loan it received last year four years ahead of schedule. Whitacre said much has changed at GM in the past year, and these changes have allowed them pay back the government and look forward to a brighter future.
This was certainly good economic news in itself, but the best news, at least for the Kansas City area, was Whitacre’s announcement that GM will invest $136 million in the Fairfax plant to make the next-generation Chevy Malibu. This investment will make Fairfax the primary manufacturer of the Malibu.
We have written much about the local auto manufacturing sector in this blog. Despite the severe downturn in this sector, Kansas City’s auto manufacturers have not only survived, but thrived. Last year, Fairfax added a third shift when there was speculation that it might lose jobs. The Claycomo plant continues to make two very popular models in Ford’s line. Now with news of today’s GM investment, we can say that auto manufacturing in Kansas City is one of the region’s economic bright spots.

Friday, April 2, 2010

Positive Economic News This Week

After two years of mostly dire economic news, three positive economic items released this week almost seems like an embarrassment of riches.
On Tuesday, the Conference Board announced that consumer confidence rebounded from a surprising dip in February. March’s index figure was 52.5, up from 46.4 in February. Consumer confidence had been increasing steadily between October 2009 and January 2010 before February’s drop.
Thursday’s bit of good news was a positive manufacturing report. The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index rose for the eighth straight month in February. This index is based on a survey of purchasing managers and is seen as a reliable measure of manufacturers’ confidence in the economy.
And today, the Labor Department announced that the national economy added 162,000 jobs in March, the largest increase in three years. It is worth noting that an estimated 48,000 of those jobs are temporary Census jobs; still, the other 100,000-plus jobs will mark an end to the continuous job losses we experienced in 2008 and 2009. These new jobs did not lower the unemployment rate. It stands at 9.7 percent for the third straight month.
We will get updated employment data for the Kansas City area next week, on April 7, when February’s local data is released. March’s data will be released on April 28.