Monday, July 21, 2008

May Employment Figures Return to Negative Territory

In a recent blog we wrote (with a great deal of hope) that the local employment figures in April might be the beginning of an economic turn-around. Well, May’s figures have crushed that hope.
Overall employment dipped by 3,429. This decline, coupled with an increase in the labor force (+5,892), sent the local unemployment rate to 5.5 percent (up from 4.6 percent in April).
It is important to keep in mind that local employment data can fluctuate dramatically from month to month. Even so, we look to these monthly figures for some sign that the local economy is beginning to recover from this slowdown. Unfortunately it appears we will have to keep looking.

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Gas Prices Take Their Toll on Area Consumers

July marked the first time ever that Kansas City area drivers put $4-a-gallon gasoline in their vehicles. As of this writing, the average cost of regular gasoline in the metro is $4.04 a gallon. Many residents have little choice but to pay this price to fuel their cars so they can get to and from work and run their errands.
It wasn’t that long ago that gasoline was around the $2-a-gallon mark (January 2007). The increased money going into the gas tanks has undoubtedly put the brakes on normal spending habits.
Kansas City residents, on average, are going to feel the pinch of gas prices a bit more due to the fact we have to drive a bit farther to get around than in other cities. According to the Center for Neighborhood Technology (www.cnt.org) the average Kansas City household drives 16,596 miles per year. At $4.04 a gallon this comes to over $3,300 in gasoline a year. Or looking at it another way, that’s over $1,600 more a year than we spent on gasoline at January 2007 prices. By comparison, Denver area residents are now spending approximately $2,800 a year in gas, or $1,400 more than when it was $2 a gallon.
The additional money going towards gasoline has to come from somewhere, and consumers are likely to cut back on discretionary spending to make up the difference. This is clearly dampening the economy, as consumers are looking for ways to save money rather than going out and spending it.
We will continue to research consumer spending and hope to have more information in the coming weeks.

Thursday, July 3, 2008

Foreign Exports from the Region Increase

The Kansas City Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) exported nearly $5.7 billion worth of goods to foreign countries in 2006. This marked a 16 percent increase from 2005. While $5.7 billion is a lot of money, this amounts to only 6.2 percent of the region’s gross regional product (GRP) in 2005 (the most recent GRP figure available). Exports make up larger percents of GRP in all of our peer metros except Denver and Omaha.

Sources: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Kansas City’s top exporting industry is Transportation Equipment ($1.5 billion) followed by Crop Production ($1.2 billion), Chemicals ($827 million), Food and Kindred Products ($770 million) and Computer and Electronic Products ($844 million)
Canada is the largest destination for our goods, receiving nearly $1.8 billion worth of goods from the Kansas City metro area. Mexico is second with $852 million, followed by Japan, China and Taiwan.
With the weakened U.S. dollar, American-made goods are more attractive to foreign buyers. Kansas City’s auto manufacturers are likely to see at least some benefit from the weak dollar, but other metros with an even greater international reach are more likely to see their economies buoyed by foreign trade.