National Employment Figures are a Mixed Bag

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US unemployment rate jumped from 8.9 percent to 9.4 percent in May. On the surface that is not good news, but if you look closer you can find some positives that indicate that the economy might be set to recover before too long.
The unemployment rate increased because the labor force (the number of people actively employed or looking for work) increased by roughly 350,000 last month. This increase, coupled with a loss of 345,000 jobs nationwide, meant more people were looking for fewer jobs, thus the increase in the unemployment rate.
So, where is the positive news? May’s job loss of 345,000 is much lower than we have experienced in recent months. Monthly job loss peaked in January at over 700,000 and has trended downward ever since. No doubt the recession persists, but the slowing pace of job loss is at least a trend in the right direction.
Comparable local numbers will be available later this month but recently, we have been doing slightly better than the nation so far this year.

April Unemployment Numbers Show Upward Trend

The release of April’s metro-level unemployment data showed a positive trend (if two or three months can be considered a trend) for the Kansas City area. Employment in the region increased by over 8,800, and outpaced the labor force growth of 3,600. This led to a decline of 5,218 in the number of unemployed and a good-sized drop in the unemployment rate, to 7.8 percent. It was 8.3 percent in March.
Kansas City was not alone, as the data showed a slightly improving employment picture in most metros throughout the country. But it is significant to note how Kansas City’s unemployment rate is performing relative to the national rate. In recent years, our unemployment rate has generally run even with or slightly higher than the national rate. But beginning in January the region’s unemployment rate started diverging from that pattern and it now stands nearly a full percentage point below than the national average.